Coral reefs act as essential flood protection for low-lying tropical coasts, something that is making the news frequently these days. However, as I have explained before on this website, Weird Waves Cause Big Trouble on Small Islands in the Middle of the Big Blue Wet Thing. Essentially, some coral reefs have a tendency to excite normally idyllic swell waves into dangerous resonant low-frequency waves that can act like mini-tsunamis and flood vulnerable low-lying tropical islands. When pushing a child on a swing, you can send them higher and higher with relatively little effort by timing your pushes carefully. In the same manner, waves striking a coral reef can be naturally amplified higher and higher if they are timed at just the right frequency. This can happen even on a sunny day – big storms not necessary! Suffice it to say, this is bad news for islands that are already barely above sea level.
Over the past decade or so, research on this topic by my colleagues and I has focused mostly on how the shape of the coral reef, specific wave conditions, or the combination of both can lead to resonant conditions. But up until now, we have largely stuck to the simplifying assumption that once resonant conditions are met, they stay that way for a while. But is this actually the case? How long do resonant conditions last on coral reefs, when do they occur, and what are the consequences for flooding?
To get to the bottom of this, Bernice van der Kooij came to the rescue! Last week she successfully defended her master’s thesis, Exploring Transient Resonant Behaviour over a Fringing Coral Reef. In Bernice’s thesis (which is simply a joy to say out loud), she dove deep into the mechanics of a complex mathematical technique, the Hilbert-Huang Transform. Bernice did some extremely difficult work that certainly kept her thesis committee on its toes. Armed with this approach, she managed to find that while these intense low-frequency wave conditions typically lasted about 5 minutes, they tended to last for hours during major flooding events.
Bernice’s study used wave measurements from the island of Roi-Namur in the Marshall Islands. Roi Namur is an extremely vulnerable island – several months ago, horrific low-frequency waves like the ones that Bernice studied struck the island. As you can see in this video of the event (which I found quite upsetting and is NOT for the faint of heart), the waves do not resemble the waves you normally see on the beach with crests spaced a few seconds apart. Instead, they smash through the building like tsunamis and then just keep coming for minutes at a time before the crest subsides (this is what “low-frequency” means). Fortunately but remarkably, there were only minor injuries from that incident, but if these events occur more frequently as climate change escalates, not everyone will be so lucky in the future. My colleagues at the US Geological Survey and Deltares argue that most atolls like Roi-Namur will be uninhabitable by the mid-21st century because of sea-level rise exacerbating this sort of wave-driven flooding.
These floods underscore the urgency of the problem Bernice worked on, and we are very proud of her and her research. We wish her all the best in the next steps of her career!

